Toronto Baseball Guys
Tuesday, April 24, 2007
  10 Reasons the Jays Aren't Done Yet
I was speaking to a fellow Jays fan this past weekend. His analysis regarding the team's chances?

"Oh, the Jays? Yeah, they're done."

Now, as sports fans, we're all occasionally guilty of jumping to emotional conclusions, particularly when our favourite team is blowing a lead or playing as though they're never going to win again, as the Jays were this week. But giving up when less than 10% of the schedule has elapsed?

I should preface that this guy is also a Leafs' fan. I am too, but as a group, they're not generally known for rationale thinking. Further, he tried to convince me that Vince Carter is a top-5 player in the NBA (After I rattled off about 15 better names, he relented). So you know level-headedness is not his strong suit.

That said, when your leadoff man, 35 home run slugger and closer are all sidelined, space on the team bandwagon tends to open up. So, for the panicky fan, here are 10 reasons the Jays aren't done just yet:

10. Adam Lind is very, very good
9. No one is running away from the pack in the AL.
8. They're essentially tied with the Yankees, and no Blue Jay is on pace for 132 home runs.
7. Frank Thomas isn't going to hit .200 all year.
6. Troy Glaus is still a decent bet to hobble his way through 130-140 games.
5. At least one of the young relievers is going to bust out - Jeremy Accardo, I'm looking at you.
4. Aaron Hill is for real, like .314, 15 HRs, 40 2Bs real - and that may be conservative.
3. A.J. Burnett is pitching in April - not his best innings, but it's a lot better than Josh Towers '06 - who pitched WAY too much last April in Burnett's absence.
2. The aforementioned Towers sports an ERA of 3.44, about 7 runs better than this time last year.
1. Wins in April may be just as valuable as wins in September, but you don't have 145 catch-up games in September.

The Jays have time.
 
Comments:
B.J. Ryan-R- Blue Jays May. 10 - 3:37 pm et


B.J. Ryan underwent Tommy John surgery Thursday, ending his season.
Dr. James Andrews said last month than Ryan didn't need surgery, but a reexamination apparently found something different. The Jays hope Ryan will be ready for the start of 2008, but setbacks are a possibility. Jason Frasor, Jeremy Accardo and Casey Janssen are all candidates for saves in the Toronto pen.

Are they done now?

Down with Frasor, Up with Accardo!
 
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